Post by paulk on Oct 18, 2017 19:31:42 GMT -5
Ugliest week in many years! Everything went seriously wack! It’s not just the wins and losses for me, it’s the accuracy of the wins and the magnitude of the losses. Everything was terrible.
My Week 6 Game of the Week
No, apparently nothing at all is wrong with Big Ben Roofies, maybe he had the flu last week or something. Perhaps the Steelers knew that they wanted to beat mighty KC (and nobody else, oddly enough) to make their season. Pitts winning by 6 became a serious 10-point loss against the spread.
pit kc 15.0 4 11.0
Other picks
Giants by 13. Biggest shocker of the bunch, and a 25-point loss against the spread.
nyg den 26.3 12 14.3
Well, the Red Skins were up by 9 with three minutes to go, but SF wanted to score a nearly useless touchdown to make the game look closer. In the end Washington winning by 2 was an 8-point loss against the spread.
sf was 19.9 10 9.9
Rams won by 10, for a 12.5-point loss.
lar jac 10.0 2.5 7.5
Leaner:
And in the end New England didn’t cover their spread. Good leaner for me toward the Jets covering the points. My 5.2-point spread was fairly close to the actual 7-point margin of victory. I needed something normal this week to make me feel a bit better.
ne nyj -5.2 -9.5 4.3
My record is crushed all the way down to 3-3 in games of the week and 9-9 in total picks against the spread. Nothing to do but...
Week 7 Power Rankings
Rank / team / rating out of 16 games if the season started anew tomorrow
1 no 14.9 (last wk. 17) N.O. crushed Detroit early and often like a championship team should.
2 kc 14.1 (last wk. 1)
3 phi 13.0 (last wk. 7)
4 min 11.2 (last wk. 16) This was a bit of a fluke caused by Aaron Rodgers going down.
5 was 11.1 (last wk. 3)
6 car 10.5 (last wk. 6)
7 lar 10.5 (last wk. 18) Jacksonville was performing pretty well, but the Rams stepped up.
8 jac 10.4 (last wk. 2) And Jacksonville didn’t step up. I’m more worried about losers performing badly next week than I am about winners suddenly getting good.
9 pit 10.2 (last wk. 20) Is this the same team that stunk their own house out against Jville?
10 ne 9.9 (last wk. 8)
11 buf 9.7 (last wk. 5)
12 mia 9.4 (last wk. 25) Well, they beat Tennessee and they took out Atlanta.
13 atl 8.4 (last wk. 9)
14 hou 8.1 (last wk. 10)
15 cin 8.0 (last wk. 11)
16 gb 7.9 (last wk. 12)
17 sea 7.9 (last wk. 22)
18 lac 7.8 (last wk. 24)
19 den 7.7 (last wk. 4) Why the choke job? One-week flu or some longer term injuries?
20 det 7.6 (last wk. 13) Same questions. Will these guys go down next week too?
21 dal 7.2 (last wk. 21)
22 ten 7.1 (last wk. 26)
23 nyg 6.6 (last wk. 29) Maybe Odell Beckham was actually a curse on the team?
24 oak 6.3 (last wk. 15) They need Carr.
25 az 6.3 (last wk. 28)
26 nyj 5.5 (last wk. 19)
27 sf 5.3 (last wk. 30)
28 tb 5.1 (last wk. 23)
29 chi 5.0 (last wk. 27)
30 bal 4.2 (last wk. 14) For some reason Baltimore couldn’t beat Chicago at home.
31 ind 1.5 (last wk. 31)
32 cle -2.3 (last wk. 32) Another disgrace.
Week 7 point spreads
Visitor / Home / My Points / Vegas Says / Difference
kc oak -4.2 -3 -1.2
tb buf 16.2 3 13.2
cin pit 0.6 5.5 -4.9
bal min 19.8 5.5 14.3
nyj mia 6.7 3 3.7
az lar 3.6 3.5 0.1
car chi -6.0 -3.5 -2.5
ten cle -11.4 -5.5 -5.9
no gb -9.1 -5.5 -3.6
jac ind -6.7 -3 -3.7
dal sf -7.3 -6 -1.3
sea nyg 0.4 -5.5 5.9
den lac 5.3 1.5 3.8
atl ne 9.6 3.5 6.1
was phi 5.7 5 0.7
Week 7 Game of the Week
Baltimore had an immense implosion against Jacksonville, and it turns out that Jville wasn’t that good a team. Then they bit the dust against Pittsburgh. Then the same against Oakland. Then they failed at home against lowly Chicago.
Minnesota improperly gained an advantage over Green Bay, so they aren’t quite as good as the numbers say. However, they beat up New Orleans and Tampa Bay so that’s something. At some point Minnesota gets their quarterback back on the field.
bal min 19.8 5.5 14.3
Other picks
Buffalo is coming off a bye week, and that counts.
Tampa Bay just died a bad death against Arizona a week after getting knocked around by the Patriots. Maybe half the team is still injured -- check their injury reports. This contest is a bit dicey because Tampa QB Winston might be coming back, or he might be back but still playing too injured to change the game’s outcome.
tb buf 16.2 3 13.2
I have to go with the numbers. Atlanta had a bye week in week 5, and then they had a home game against Miami and Jay Cutler. However, Atlanta lost! How? New England is slowly putting together its December face, and I see how they keep getting a bit better week after week.
atl ne 9.6 3.5 6.1
Leaners
No, my numbers simply don’t like Cleveland. They’re way off the tail end of the NFL in their own universe. Maybe, just maybe, the Cleveland players will take some pride in making their home crowd happy but the numbers kind of doubt this. Cleveland has always been awful this year, and why should they make an exception this week?
ten cle -11.4 -5.5 -5.9
The stats just don’t like Pittsburgh that much. It’s possible that they saved up their very best for the Kansas City game and now they have no encore for a division rival. Cincy is coming off of their bye week and that helps.
cin pit 0.6 5.5 -4.9
The numbers say that the Giants might repeat their improbable Denver story. Who am I to say no? Seattle has a cross-country trip. On the other hand, Seattle is coming off of a bye week.
sea nyg 0.4 -5.5 5.9
My Week 6 Game of the Week
No, apparently nothing at all is wrong with Big Ben Roofies, maybe he had the flu last week or something. Perhaps the Steelers knew that they wanted to beat mighty KC (and nobody else, oddly enough) to make their season. Pitts winning by 6 became a serious 10-point loss against the spread.
pit kc 15.0 4 11.0
Other picks
Giants by 13. Biggest shocker of the bunch, and a 25-point loss against the spread.
nyg den 26.3 12 14.3
Well, the Red Skins were up by 9 with three minutes to go, but SF wanted to score a nearly useless touchdown to make the game look closer. In the end Washington winning by 2 was an 8-point loss against the spread.
sf was 19.9 10 9.9
Rams won by 10, for a 12.5-point loss.
lar jac 10.0 2.5 7.5
Leaner:
And in the end New England didn’t cover their spread. Good leaner for me toward the Jets covering the points. My 5.2-point spread was fairly close to the actual 7-point margin of victory. I needed something normal this week to make me feel a bit better.
ne nyj -5.2 -9.5 4.3
My record is crushed all the way down to 3-3 in games of the week and 9-9 in total picks against the spread. Nothing to do but...
Week 7 Power Rankings
Rank / team / rating out of 16 games if the season started anew tomorrow
1 no 14.9 (last wk. 17) N.O. crushed Detroit early and often like a championship team should.
2 kc 14.1 (last wk. 1)
3 phi 13.0 (last wk. 7)
4 min 11.2 (last wk. 16) This was a bit of a fluke caused by Aaron Rodgers going down.
5 was 11.1 (last wk. 3)
6 car 10.5 (last wk. 6)
7 lar 10.5 (last wk. 18) Jacksonville was performing pretty well, but the Rams stepped up.
8 jac 10.4 (last wk. 2) And Jacksonville didn’t step up. I’m more worried about losers performing badly next week than I am about winners suddenly getting good.
9 pit 10.2 (last wk. 20) Is this the same team that stunk their own house out against Jville?
10 ne 9.9 (last wk. 8)
11 buf 9.7 (last wk. 5)
12 mia 9.4 (last wk. 25) Well, they beat Tennessee and they took out Atlanta.
13 atl 8.4 (last wk. 9)
14 hou 8.1 (last wk. 10)
15 cin 8.0 (last wk. 11)
16 gb 7.9 (last wk. 12)
17 sea 7.9 (last wk. 22)
18 lac 7.8 (last wk. 24)
19 den 7.7 (last wk. 4) Why the choke job? One-week flu or some longer term injuries?
20 det 7.6 (last wk. 13) Same questions. Will these guys go down next week too?
21 dal 7.2 (last wk. 21)
22 ten 7.1 (last wk. 26)
23 nyg 6.6 (last wk. 29) Maybe Odell Beckham was actually a curse on the team?
24 oak 6.3 (last wk. 15) They need Carr.
25 az 6.3 (last wk. 28)
26 nyj 5.5 (last wk. 19)
27 sf 5.3 (last wk. 30)
28 tb 5.1 (last wk. 23)
29 chi 5.0 (last wk. 27)
30 bal 4.2 (last wk. 14) For some reason Baltimore couldn’t beat Chicago at home.
31 ind 1.5 (last wk. 31)
32 cle -2.3 (last wk. 32) Another disgrace.
Week 7 point spreads
Visitor / Home / My Points / Vegas Says / Difference
kc oak -4.2 -3 -1.2
tb buf 16.2 3 13.2
cin pit 0.6 5.5 -4.9
bal min 19.8 5.5 14.3
nyj mia 6.7 3 3.7
az lar 3.6 3.5 0.1
car chi -6.0 -3.5 -2.5
ten cle -11.4 -5.5 -5.9
no gb -9.1 -5.5 -3.6
jac ind -6.7 -3 -3.7
dal sf -7.3 -6 -1.3
sea nyg 0.4 -5.5 5.9
den lac 5.3 1.5 3.8
atl ne 9.6 3.5 6.1
was phi 5.7 5 0.7
Week 7 Game of the Week
Baltimore had an immense implosion against Jacksonville, and it turns out that Jville wasn’t that good a team. Then they bit the dust against Pittsburgh. Then the same against Oakland. Then they failed at home against lowly Chicago.
Minnesota improperly gained an advantage over Green Bay, so they aren’t quite as good as the numbers say. However, they beat up New Orleans and Tampa Bay so that’s something. At some point Minnesota gets their quarterback back on the field.
bal min 19.8 5.5 14.3
Other picks
Buffalo is coming off a bye week, and that counts.
Tampa Bay just died a bad death against Arizona a week after getting knocked around by the Patriots. Maybe half the team is still injured -- check their injury reports. This contest is a bit dicey because Tampa QB Winston might be coming back, or he might be back but still playing too injured to change the game’s outcome.
tb buf 16.2 3 13.2
I have to go with the numbers. Atlanta had a bye week in week 5, and then they had a home game against Miami and Jay Cutler. However, Atlanta lost! How? New England is slowly putting together its December face, and I see how they keep getting a bit better week after week.
atl ne 9.6 3.5 6.1
Leaners
No, my numbers simply don’t like Cleveland. They’re way off the tail end of the NFL in their own universe. Maybe, just maybe, the Cleveland players will take some pride in making their home crowd happy but the numbers kind of doubt this. Cleveland has always been awful this year, and why should they make an exception this week?
ten cle -11.4 -5.5 -5.9
The stats just don’t like Pittsburgh that much. It’s possible that they saved up their very best for the Kansas City game and now they have no encore for a division rival. Cincy is coming off of their bye week and that helps.
cin pit 0.6 5.5 -4.9
The numbers say that the Giants might repeat their improbable Denver story. Who am I to say no? Seattle has a cross-country trip. On the other hand, Seattle is coming off of a bye week.
sea nyg 0.4 -5.5 5.9